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MMA Comments For the Week Beginning
March 26, 2007
By Ray Merriman |
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Review and Preview:
AStock indices around the world rebounded sharply last week, off their double bottom lows of March 5 and March 14.
In Europe, the Netherlands AEX soared to a new five-year high, reaching 515.33 on Friday, up nearly 10% since the lows of March 5. But that was the only index to post new multi-year highs. The German DAX rose to 6902 on Friday, still off from its multi-year high of 7040 back on February 26. The London FTSE rallied to 6350, also down slightly over 100 points from its multi year high of 6451 on February 19. And the Swiss Stock Index only managed to rise to 9107, far off its 9376 high of February 19.
In the Pacific Rim, no indices made new highs for this year. The Australian All ordinaries rose to 5947, still off considerably from its all-time high of 6024 achieved back on February 23. The Japanese Nikkei soared to 17,537, up considerably from the 16,532 low of March 5, but also still down considerably from its 6-year high of 18,300, recorded on February 26. The Hang Seng, however, trailed the most. Last week’s rally saw prices get to 19,813 on Thursday, but this is still well below the all-time high of 20,950 reached on January 24.
In the America’s, Brazil’s Bovespa was strong. On Friday it hit 45,949, up nearly 12% from the lows of March 5, but still down a bit from the all-time high of 46,752. The Merval of Argentina got to 2084 on Friday, but this is still well off the all-time high of 2225 of February 22. In the United States, the Dow Jones Industrial Average bounced back smartly too, getting to 12,511 on Friday, a nice recovery from its 11,939 low of March 5, but still off from its all-time high of 12,795 on February 20. The NASDAQ Composite rallied to 2459 on Friday, which is still considerably off the multi-year high of 2531 back on February 22.
For traders looking for volatility, you have certainly had it now in the past 4 weeks, with many markets making all time highs in February, then falling sharply into the lunar eclipse conjunct Uranus on March 3-5, followed by the re-test March 14, followed by another vertical rally since then. It is all consistent with the movement of Mercury retrograde (February 13-March 8) and heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius (March 19-30). As stated in last week’s column, “At the same time, heliocentric (as seen from Sun) Mercury enters Sagittarius (March 19-30), which is usually a time of dramatic price behavior too in most markets.
Some markets (like metals and currencies) will rally strongly at first, and then plummet just as sharply before it is over.” That was certainly true with precious metals and currencies, which caught fire on Tuesday, and rallied sharply into Thursday. But just as fast as they went up, they may be readying to come down, which is the other side of helio Mercury in Sagittarius. It rises sharply the first 3-5 days, and then comes down hard the second 3-5 days. Crude Oil didn’t miss the astrological configuration either. After bottoming at 56.10 on March 20 (Tuesday), black gold soared to a new high for this year, reaching 62.65 on Friday, a rise of 11.6% in just three days, and consistent with our continued call of new all-time highs in the next year related to Uranus in the middle degrees of Pisces.
Short-Term Geocosmics
The geocosmic fireworks continue this week, and into early April. First, heliocentric Mercury finishes off its sojourn in Sagittarius on March 30. This begins the second half of that 11 day transit, and if history is any guide, whatever went up in the first half, comes down in the second. Additionally, as stated last week, “… transiting Mars will begin its translation over the Saturn-Neptune opposition and Jupiter-Saturn trine, March 22-25. This suggests a repeat of themes that were present around February 28 (the stock market began its plunge on February 27). This also pertains to Crude Oil, which has been falling steadily since it passed 62.00 on February 27. It was down below 59.00 intraday on Friday, sol we look for another reversal here to start in the next week.” Well, Crude has already obliged. And now let’s see if metals and stocks do the same. It seems that Gold and Silver may have already begun their reversal as of Friday.
There are a couple of other geocosmic signatures to watch for in the next 1-2 weeks. Our ideas that the stock market would rally from that double bottom low of March 5 and 14 into March 21-26, as spelled out to subscribers of our reports, has come true. But the extent of the rally is right up to important resistance now. Could it turn abruptly back now? Well, according to my understanding of geocosmics, the answer is yes. But there are other geocosmic signatures and mundane factors coming up April 5-9 (Jupiter retrograde and Sun trine Jupiter) that make me reticent to get aggressively bearish again just yet. Those can be bullish signatures too, just as Mars sextile to Jupiter on Friday was. Plus that week proceeds the Easter holiday, which gives traders along vacation.
My experience is that is dangerous to get too aggressive a stock market that precedes a major holiday. If the market instead starts reversing down, in reflection of the Mars transit Saturn-Neptune and what that did to markets February 26-March 5, then yes, it is also possible that there could be a decline that picks up much intensity this week. But I am inclined to think that the markets may be more benign on any downturns the following week due to the Easter holidays and the Jupiter transits.
Long-Term Thoughts
The Saturn-Neptune opposition is being stimulated by the transit of Mars over Neptune, and in opposition to Saturn this past week, and even into Sunday. And all the seedy themes of deception, manipulation, and suspicion of “acting in bad faith” – typical negative manifestations of Saturn in opposition to Neptune – are coming to surface in full force in the United States. The Democratic controlled Congress is calling for subpoenas now related to the dismissal of several U.S. attorneys under Attorney General Alberto Gonzalez. Amongst those expected to be subpoenaed are Chief White House Advisor Karl Rove, who according to emails, apparently was quite involved in the decision.
Now, if one is trying to counteract the negative effects of Saturn-Neptune (i.e. the perception of “covering up,” or “avoiding accountability”), you don’t respond to these requests by saying something like, “We will allow them to talk to these people, but not under oath, and not recorded.” What? This type of response only plays in to the suspicion nature of these aspects, and leads one’s opponents to believe even more fervently that there is a major lapse of ethics afoot in the government, and will only lead to more investigations of Mr. Bush and his White House aides.
The Democrats have got it half right on how to win the 2008 election. They don’t have to impeach President Bush. In fact, it is better that they do not, if their sole goal is to “win the election” (as opposed to doing what is truly best for the country). All they have to do is to continue calling for investigations in to questionable activities and decisions of the past 6 years. All they have to do is continually remind the public of how the multitude of questionable and unethical behavior has upset the trust Americans have placed in its Republican leaders.
The other half of the equation to “easily walk away with a 2008 election victory” is to simply do fiscally what they promised to do in the 2006 mid-term elections. They criticized the White House and Republican Congress for failing to control their spending, an issue that historically has gotten the Democrats into all kinds of trouble, to the point that they still have to fight the label of being the “spend and tax” party. But in this regard, the Democrats have also failed miserably in their fiduciary duties and promises this past week, by applying over $20 billion of unrelated dollars to be spent on “pork” – programs totally unrelated to the funding of U.S. soldiers fighting the War on Terrorism. That’s what the bill was about – to fund the soldiers or not. It has nothing to do with millions of dollars added to this bill to be spent on researching spinach and other foods!
If the Democrats want to walk away with complete control of the White House and Congress in 2008, they can’t succumb to these types of historical patterns that are so consistent with the Saturn-Neptune opposition (violations of trust). They too will lose all credibility, and thus make it a very close election. From now through 2010, nobody can expect to succeed if he/she isn’t willing to behave with integrity, honesty, and trustworthiness. For once this Saturn-Neptune opposition is completed, we begin the biggest challenge of them all: the Saturn-Uranus opposition (2008-2010). The last time that happened was in 1965-1967. It wasn’t just a war, then, that is so much like today’s war. It was about distrust for the leadership of the country’s top elected officials, and nearly led to revolution.
We have a choice. And so do our elected officials. Do the right thing for the country you serve – the whole country, and not just for the person in your local district who benefits from you adding unnecessary “pork” to the spending of the citizens’ tax dollars. Oh, wait a minute! I forgot. This is the year of the Pig in Chinese Astrology. Expect a lot more pork than usual.
Announcements:
If you are an active short-term trader, there may be no better time than now to subscribe to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Notes, Corn, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services.htm, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
I will also be at “The Blast,” an astrology conference in Sedona, Arizona, March 28-April 2. This conference will feature many of the newest “young” astrologers, along with a couple of “young elders” like Rob Hand, Dennis Harness, Gloria Star, Robert Blaschke and myself. Coordinated by Moses Siregar, this conference will also be the site for the ISAR (International Society for Astrological Research) annual meeting, of which I have served as President since 2002. The public is welcomed to attend, and meet the wonderful people who direct this organization. For more information on this unique and very affordable seminar, please go to http://theblastastrologyconference.com.
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book: Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out! This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for…many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” – those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering this book, please go to http://www.mmacycles.com/ordmmabook.shtml.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose:
The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose:
The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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Ray Merriman,
Financial Astrologer
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Formal education and training includes:
B.S. (Psychology, Michigan State University, 1969),
Post-Graduate studies (Clinical Psychology, Michigan State and University of Michigan, 1969-1971).
Professional (Certified) Life Member of the American Federation of Astrologers (PLMAFA since 1972)
Commodities Trading Advisor (CTA, 1982); Series 3 and 7 exams for Commodities, Financial Futures, Securities and Investments (1986, 1989).
Certified Astrological Practitioner (C.A.P.) through the International Society of Astrological Research (ISAR), Inc.
Currently President of The Merriman Market Analyst, Inc., an investment advisory firm specializing in market timing products and services.
Editor of The MMA Cycles Report, an advisory newsletter issued 17 times/yr, and used by banks, financial institutions, investors and traders throughout the world since 1982.
1982-1986: Frequent guest contributor on the Financial News Network (FNN).
1986-87: Investment Executive with Prudential Securities
1987-1990: Investment Executive with E.F. Hutton and Shearson Lehman Hutton
1990-1994: Accounts Vice-President of Retail Commodity Futures with Paine Webber Securities.
Professional Astrologer since 1968.
President of ISAR (International Society For Astrological Research - 1995-2001 Recipient of the 1995 UAC Regulus Award for "Enhancing Astrology's Image As A Profession"
Recipient of Aquarius Workshops Award for "Service To Astrology" (1994)
Recipient of Professional Astrologers Inc. (PAI) Award for "Outstanding Activities on Behalf Of Furthering Goals Of Astrology - Lectures."
Seminar Coordinator for the ISAR 1994 Conference on Research, Professionalism and Mundane Forecasting.
Seminar Coordinator for the ISAR 1996 Conference On Computers and Research: The Cutting Edge of Astro-Technology, at Indian Lakes Resort, July 2-7, 1996.
Seminar Coordinator for the ARC "Cosmic Experience", May 20-26, 1997 at Michigan State University
Seminar Coordinator for the ISAR 2000 conference: Cutting Edge Skills for the 21st Century Professional at the Sheraton Anaheim Hotel, October 4-9, 2000.
Guest lecturer at the 1996 and 2000 World Congress of Astrology in Lucerne, Switzerland.
Guest Lecturer for the FAA (Federation of Australian Astrologers), 1998, 2000, and 2002.
Merriman is an international lecturer on both financial market cycles and various aspects of astrology as it applies to cycles in human activity. He is the author of several books, including:
*The Solar Return Book of Prediction (1977)
*The Gold Book: Geocosmic Correlations To Gold Price Cycles (1982)
*Evolutionary Astrology: The Journey of the Soul Through States of Consciousness (1992)
*The Sun, The Moon, and the Silver Market: Secrets of a Silver Trader (1992)
*Merriman on Market Cycles: The Basics (1994)
*Basic Principle of Geocosmic Studies For Financial Market Timing (1995)
*The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Vol. 1: Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes (1997)
*The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Vol. 2: Geocosmic Correlations To Investment Cycles (1999)
*The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Vol. 3: Geocosmic Correlations To Trading Cycles (2001)
*The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Vol. 4: Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Trading Reversals
In conjunction with P.A.S., Merriman has also developed a financial astrological software system: The FAR (Financial Astrological Research) for the Galactic Trader program, which enable traders to identify potential turning points in various stocks and/or financial futures markets. He also the text writer for the "Solar Return Report Writer" by Matrix, Inc., and has written the "Annual Forecasts Book" for MMA since 1976.
www.mmacycles.com
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